The Conventional Wisdom on Hispanic Voters Was Completely Wrong | National Review

The Conventional Wisdom on Hispanic Voters Was Completely Wrong | National Review


For years, we heard that Republicans couldn’t be tough-minded on immigration and win Hispanics, and yet here we are with these stunning numbers from a new WSJ poll:

The nation’s large and diverse group of Hispanic voters is showing signs of dividing its support between Democrats and Republicans more evenly than in recent elections, a new Wall Street Journal poll finds, a troubling development for the Democratic Party, which has long counted on outsize Hispanic support.

One year after giving Democratic House candidates more than 60% of their vote, according to polls at the time, the Journal survey found that Hispanic voters are evenly split in their choice for Congress. Asked which party they would back if the election were today, 37% of Hispanic voters said they would support the Republican congressional candidate and 37% said they would favor the Democrat, with 22% undecided.

Hispanic voters were also evenly divided when asked about a hypothetical rematch in 2024 of the last presidential contenders, with 44% saying they would back President Biden and 43% supporting former President Donald Trump. In 2020, Mr. Biden won 63% support among Hispanic voters, nearly 30 points more than Mr. Trump, according to AP VoteCast, a large survey of the presidential electorate.





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About the Author

Tony Beasley
Tony Beasley writes for the Local News, US and the World Section of ANH.